Sanat Mes Kerman vs Saipa: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sanat Mes Kermanvs
SaipaThe model puts Saipa at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Saipa.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sanat Mes Kerman have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Saipa have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sanat Mes Kerman have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Saipa is priced at 2.41.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sanat Mes Kerman at 28%. The model puts the draw at 33%. The model puts Saipa at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Sanat Mes Kerman is priced at 3.08. The draw is priced at 2.71. Saipa is priced at 2.41.
Sanat Mes Kerman have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Saipa have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sanat Mes Kerman have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Saipa have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Saipa are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sanat Mes Kerman or Saipa?
Our model rates Saipa as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sanat Mes Kerman vs Saipa?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 Sanat Mes Kerman wins, 6 draws, 5 Saipa wins.
Odds movement
League table
Iran. Azadegan League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fard Alborz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Naft Masjed Soleyman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Saipa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Niroye Zamini | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Pars Jonoubi Jam | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 6 |  Shenavar Sazi Qeshm | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 7 |  Shahin Bandar Ameri | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 8 | Sanat Mes Kerman | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Mes Rafsanjan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 |  Naft Gachsaran | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Besat Kermanshah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 13 |  Havadar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 14 |  Foolad Khuzestan II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 |  Kara Gostar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Ario Eslamshahr | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.