Santos Laguna (Women) vs Cruz Azul (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Santos Laguna (Women)vs
Cruz Azul (Women)The model puts Cruz Azul (Women) at 51%. The model leans toward Cruz Azul (Women). Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Cruz Azul (Women).
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Santos Laguna (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cruz Azul (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Santos Laguna (Women) have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Cruz Azul (Women) is priced at 1.78.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Santos Laguna (Women) at 25%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Cruz Azul (Women) at 51%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Cruz Azul (Women). Santos Laguna (Women) is priced at 3.585. The draw is priced at 3.72. Cruz Azul (Women) is priced at 1.78.
Santos Laguna (Women) have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Cruz Azul (Women) have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Santos Laguna (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Cruz Azul (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Cruz Azul (Women) are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Santos Laguna (Women) or Cruz Azul (Women)?
Our model rates Cruz Azul (Women) as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Santos Laguna (Women) vs Cruz Azul (Women)?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 5 Santos Laguna (Women) wins, 3 draws, 6 Cruz Azul (Women) wins.
League table
Mexico. Liga MX. Women - Apertura| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monterrey (Women) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 33:9 | 21 |
| 2 |  Tigres de la UANL (Women) | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Toluca (Women) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 4 |  Juarez (Women) | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 15 |
| 5 |  Leon (Women) | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul (Women) | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:18 | 12 |
| 7 | Santos Laguna (Women) | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 8 |  Queretaro (Women) | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 9:18 | 6 |
| 9 |  Atlante (Women) | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4:11 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.