Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena vs Envigado: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagenavs
EnvigadoThe model puts Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena at 53%. The model leans toward Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena (7-5-2).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Envigado have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena is priced at 1.76.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena at 53%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Envigado at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena. Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena is priced at 1.76. The draw is priced at 3.28. Envigado is priced at 4.305.
Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Envigado have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Envigado have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena or Envigado?
Our model rates Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena vs Envigado?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 7 Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena wins, 5 draws, 2 Envigado wins.
League table
Colombia. Categoria Primera B - Clausura| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente Yumbo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:2 | 17 |
| 2 |  Patriotas Boyaca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 17 |
| 3 |  Real Cundinamarca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Tigres Futbol Club | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 5 |  Atletico Cali | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 13 |
| 7 |  Boca Juniors De Cali | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportes Quindío | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:5 | 10 |
| 9 |  Real Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 10 |  Leones | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  Orsomarso | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 8 |
| 12 |  Barranquilla | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 13 |  Bogota | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4:8 | 8 |
| 14 |  Internacional Palmira | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 15 |  Union Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 16 | Envigado | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.