Odds II vs Stabaek II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Odds IIvs
Stabaek IIThe model puts Odds II at 54%. The model leans toward Odds II. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Stabaek II.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Odds II have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stabaek II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Odds II have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Odds II is priced at 1.58.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Odds II at 54%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Stabaek II at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Odds II. Odds II is priced at 1.58. The draw is priced at 4.45. Stabaek II is priced at 3.98.
Odds II have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Stabaek II have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Odds II have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Stabaek II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Odds II or Stabaek II?
Our model rates Odds II as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Odds II vs Stabaek II?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 6 Odds II wins, 2 draws, 5 Stabaek II wins.
League table
Norway. Division 3. Group 4| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Madla | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 50:25 | 41 |
| 2 |  Mandalskameratene | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 46:33 | 37 |
| 3 |  Vindbjart | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 47:24 | 35 |
| 4 |  Varhaug | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 36:28 | 33 |
| 5 |  Flekkeroy | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 41:34 | 33 |
| 6 |  Viking II | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 48:26 | 31 |
| 7 |  Brodd | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 39:40 | 27 |
| 8 | Stabaek II | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 41:45 | 26 |
| 9 |  Vag | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 29:36 | 23 |
| 10 |  Staal Jorpeland | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 37:46 | 22 |
| 11 | Odds II | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 35:44 | 22 |
| 12 |  Haugesund II | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 36:54 | 21 |
| 13 |  Hinna | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 36:57 | 20 |
| 14 |  Akra | 20 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 27:56 | 15 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.