Telstar vs Feyenoord: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Telstarvs
FeyenoordThe model puts Feyenoord at 72%. The model leans toward Feyenoord. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Feyenoord score more per game (1.0 at home vs 4.0 away).
- +Recent form favours Feyenoord.
- +Feyenoord creates more chances (15 vs 18 shots per game).
- −Feyenoord are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Telstar have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Feyenoord have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Telstar have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Feyenoord will be without Beelen, van Persie, Bos, Moder, Nelson R., Nieuwkoop, Smal G..
- Feyenoord is priced at 1.34.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 5 |
| 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Telstar at 12%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Feyenoord at 72%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-3.
The market leans toward Feyenoord. Telstar is priced at 8.3. The draw is priced at 5.4. Feyenoord is priced at 1.34.
Telstar have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Telstar have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Feyenoord have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Telstar average 1 goals per game this season. Telstar average 54% possession. Feyenoord average 4 goals per game this season. Feyenoord average 54% possession.
The model gives 59% for both teams to score. The model gives 80% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Telstar or Feyenoord?
Our model rates Feyenoord as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Telstar vs Feyenoord?
A scoreline around 0-3 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 2 Telstar wins, 0 draws, 0 Feyenoord wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.