Real Valladolid vs Cordoba: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Real Valladolidvs
CordobaThe model puts Real Valladolid at 45%. The model leans toward Real Valladolid. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Real Valladolid.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Real Valladolid have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cordoba have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Real Valladolid have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Real Valladolid is priced at 2.216.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Real Valladolid at 45%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Cordoba at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Real Valladolid. Real Valladolid is priced at 2.216. The draw is priced at 3.52. Cordoba is priced at 3.145.
Real Valladolid have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Cordoba have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Real Valladolid have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Real Valladolid are on 2 wins in a row. Cordoba have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Real Valladolid or Cordoba?
Our model rates Real Valladolid as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Real Valladolid vs Cordoba?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Real Valladolid wins, 3 draws, 7 Cordoba wins.
League table
Spain. Segunda Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellon | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:2 | 16 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 3 |  Mallorca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:2 | 13 |
| 4 |  UD Almeria | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 5 |  Burgos | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 |  Sabadell | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Leganes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 8 |  Girona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 9 |  Sporting de Gijon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 11 |  Tenerife | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Real Oviedo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Granada | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Celta Fortuna | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 16 | Cordoba | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Eldense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 18 | Real Valladolid | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:8 | 5 |
| 19 |  Cadiz | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 20 |  Andorra Andorra la Vella | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 9:13 | 3 |
| 21 |  Albacete Balompie | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3:16 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.