Lille OSC vs Stade Brestois 29: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Lille OSCvs
Stade Brestois 29The model puts Lille OSC at 51%. The model leans toward Lille OSC. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Lille OSC.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Lille OSC have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stade Brestois 29 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lille OSC have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Lille OSC is priced at 1.79.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Lille OSC at 51%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Stade Brestois 29 at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Lille OSC. Lille OSC is priced at 1.79. The draw is priced at 3.88. Stade Brestois 29 is priced at 4.2.
Lille OSC have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Stade Brestois 29 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
Lille OSC have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Stade Brestois 29 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Lille OSC average 2 goals per game this season. Lille OSC average 44% possession. Stade Brestois 29 average 2 goals per game this season. Stade Brestois 29 average 47% possession.
The model gives 66% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lille OSC or Stade Brestois 29?
Our model rates Lille OSC as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lille OSC vs Stade Brestois 29?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Lille OSC wins, 6 draws, 4 Stade Brestois 29 wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 3 |  Stade Rennais | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 7 | Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 10 |  RC Lens | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers SCO | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 13 |  Olympique de Marseille | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:8 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 17 |  Troyes AC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:8 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.