Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Strasbourgvs
Paris Saint-GermainThe model puts Paris Saint-Germain at 69%. The model leans toward Paris Saint-Germain. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Paris Saint-Germain.
- +The head-to-head record favours Paris Saint-Germain (1-4-10).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Strasbourg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Paris Saint-Germain have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Strasbourg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Paris Saint-Germain is priced at 1.408.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 |
| 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Strasbourg at 14%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Paris Saint-Germain at 69%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Paris Saint-Germain. Strasbourg is priced at 6.45. The draw is priced at 5.3. Paris Saint-Germain is priced at 1.408.
Strasbourg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Paris Saint-Germain have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Strasbourg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Paris Saint-Germain have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Paris Saint-Germain are on 4 wins in a row.
Strasbourg average 2 goals per game this season. Strasbourg average 47% possession. Paris Saint-Germain average 2 goals per game this season. Paris Saint-Germain average 67% possession.
The model gives 54% for both teams to score. The model gives 69% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Strasbourg or Paris Saint-Germain?
Our model rates Paris Saint-Germain as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 1 Strasbourg wins, 4 draws, 10 Paris Saint-Germain wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille OSC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 3 |  Stade Rennais | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 10 |  RC Lens | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers SCO | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 13 |  Olympique de Marseille | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:8 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 17 |  Troyes AC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:8 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.