Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Independiente Petrolerovs
Real TomayapoThe model puts Independiente Petrolero at 55%. The model leans toward Independiente Petrolero. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Independiente Petrolero have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Real Tomayapo have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Independiente Petrolero have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Independiente Petrolero is priced at 1.635.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Independiente Petrolero at 55%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Real Tomayapo at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Independiente Petrolero. Independiente Petrolero is priced at 1.635. The draw is priced at 3.92. Real Tomayapo is priced at 4.14.
Independiente Petrolero have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Real Tomayapo have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Independiente Petrolero have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Independiente Petrolero are on 2 wins in a row. Real Tomayapo have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Independiente Petrolero or Real Tomayapo?
Our model rates Independiente Petrolero as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Independiente Petrolero wins, 1 draws, 7 Real Tomayapo wins.
League table
Bolivia Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Aurora | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 |  San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 3 |  Club Bamin Real Potosi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 4 |  ABB | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:7 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.