Pitbulls Santa Barbara vs AD Cariari Pococí: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Pitbulls Santa Barbaravs
AD Cariari PococíThe model puts Pitbulls Santa Barbara at 45%. The model leans toward Pitbulls Santa Barbara. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Pitbulls Santa Barbara.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Pitbulls Santa Barbara have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AD Cariari Pococí have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pitbulls Santa Barbara have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Pitbulls Santa Barbara is priced at 2.1.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Pitbulls Santa Barbara at 45%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts AD Cariari Pococí at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Pitbulls Santa Barbara. Pitbulls Santa Barbara is priced at 2.1. The draw is priced at 3.2. AD Cariari Pococí is priced at 3.13.
Pitbulls Santa Barbara have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. AD Cariari Pococí have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Pitbulls Santa Barbara have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. AD Cariari Pococí have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Pitbulls Santa Barbara or AD Cariari Pococí?
Our model rates Pitbulls Santa Barbara as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Pitbulls Santa Barbara vs AD Cariari Pococí?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara wins, 2 draws, 1 AD Cariari Pococí wins.
Odds movement
League table
Costa Rica. Segunda Division. Aperture| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Asociacion Deportiva y Recreativa Jicaral | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 2 |  Quepos Cambute | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Municipal Grecia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 4 |  AD Sarchi | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 11 |
| 5 |  AD Rosario | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 6 |  Santa Cruz PFA | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 7 |  AD Cofutpa | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4:13 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.