Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Pumas UNAMvs
Atletico San LuisThe model puts Pumas UNAM at 47%. The model leans toward Pumas UNAM. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Atletico San Luis (5-1-9).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Pumas UNAM have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atletico San Luis have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pumas UNAM have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Pumas UNAM is priced at 1.94.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Pumas UNAM at 47%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Atletico San Luis at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Pumas UNAM. Pumas UNAM is priced at 1.94. The draw is priced at 3.54. Atletico San Luis is priced at 3.555.
Pumas UNAM have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Atletico San Luis have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Pumas UNAM have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Atletico San Luis have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Pumas UNAM or Atletico San Luis?
Our model rates Pumas UNAM as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Pumas UNAM wins, 1 draws, 9 Atletico San Luis wins.
League table
Mexico. Liga MX| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Toluca | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Guadalajara | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:8 | 18 |
| 3 |  Club America | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 |  Puebla | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 14 |
| 6 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 7 |  Monterrey | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 8 |  Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 9 |  Leon | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 10 |  Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 11 | Pumas UNAM | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 12 |  Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  Atlante | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Club Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 16 |  Tigres de la UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Juarez | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 6:23 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.