Khovd Western vs Erchim: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Khovd Westernvs
ErchimThe model puts Khovd Western at 67%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Khovd Western is priced at 1.37.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Khovd Western at 67%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Erchim at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Khovd Western. Khovd Western is priced at 1.37. The draw is priced at 6. Erchim is priced at 5.19.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 66% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Khovd Western or Erchim?
Our model rates Khovd Western as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Khovd Western vs Erchim?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Mongolia. National Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deren | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 |  Central Stallions | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Ulaanbaatar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:0 | 4 |
| 4 |  Khovdyn Khuleguud | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Amtat | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:12 | 3 |
| 6 | Erchim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 7 | Khovd Western | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 8 |  Hunters | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 9 |  Ulaangom City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.