Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al-Ittihad Jeddahvs
Shabab Al-Ahli DubaiThe model puts Al-Ittihad Jeddah at 49%. The model leans toward Al-Ittihad Jeddah. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Al-Ittihad Jeddah.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al-Ittihad Jeddah have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Ittihad Jeddah is priced at 1.87.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al-Ittihad Jeddah at 49%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Al-Ittihad Jeddah. Al-Ittihad Jeddah is priced at 1.87. The draw is priced at 4. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai is priced at 3.72.
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Al-Ittihad Jeddah have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al-Ittihad Jeddah or Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai?
Our model rates Al-Ittihad Jeddah as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Al-Ittihad Jeddah wins, 0 draws, 1 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai wins.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League Elite - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima Antlers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Shanghai Port | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Buriram United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Darul Takzim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 |  Port | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 |  Kyoto Sanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 |  Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pohang Steelers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Hanoi Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.