Viktoriya Sumy vs Nyva Ternopil: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Viktoriya Sumyvs
Nyva TernopilThe model puts Viktoriya Sumy at 54%. The model leans toward Viktoriya Sumy. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Viktoriya Sumy (5-1-1).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Viktoriya Sumy have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nyva Ternopil have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Viktoriya Sumy have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Viktoriya Sumy is priced at 1.72.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Viktoriya Sumy at 54%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Nyva Ternopil at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Viktoriya Sumy. Viktoriya Sumy is priced at 1.72. The draw is priced at 3.24. Nyva Ternopil is priced at 4.575.
Viktoriya Sumy have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Nyva Ternopil have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Viktoriya Sumy have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Nyva Ternopil have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Viktoriya Sumy or Nyva Ternopil?
Our model rates Viktoriya Sumy as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Viktoriya Sumy vs Nyva Ternopil?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 7 meetings: 5 Viktoriya Sumy wins, 1 draws, 1 Nyva Ternopil wins.
Odds movement
League table
Ukraine. First League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Sumy | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:2 | 16 |
| 2 |  SC Poltava | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:1 | 12 |
| 3 |  Oleksandriya | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 4 |  Kulikov-Belka | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Agrobiznes Volochisk | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 6 |  Metallist | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 7 |  UCSA | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 8 |  Prykarpatye | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 9 |  Inhulets Petrove | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 10 |  Chernigov | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 11 |  Feniks-Mariupol | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Kolos Kovalivka II | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:8 | 6 |
| 14 |  Polissya Zhytomyr II | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 |  Lokomotyv Kyiv | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 16 |  Probiy Gorodenka | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:18 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.