Tromso II vs KIL Toppfotball II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tromso IIvs
KIL Toppfotball IIThe model puts Tromso II at 56%. The model leans toward Tromso II. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Tromso II.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Tromso II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- KIL Toppfotball II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tromso II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Tromso II is priced at 1.67.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tromso II at 56%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts KIL Toppfotball II at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Tromso II. Tromso II is priced at 1.67. The draw is priced at 4.25. KIL Toppfotball II is priced at 3.635.
Tromso II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Tromso II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. KIL Toppfotball II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 59% for both teams to score. The model gives 65% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tromso II or KIL Toppfotball II?
Our model rates Tromso II as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tromso II vs KIL Toppfotball II?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Tromso II wins, 0 draws, 0 KIL Toppfotball II wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Norway. Division 3. Group 5| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Skedsmo | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 43:25 | 46 |
| 2 |  Harstad | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 66:31 | 39 |
| 3 |  Floya | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 55:32 | 39 |
| 4 |  Alta | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 44:28 | 33 |
| 5 |  Finnsnes | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 37:34 | 32 |
| 6 |  Fauske Sprint | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 58:65 | 31 |
| 7 |  Lillestrom II | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 65:45 | 27 |
| 8 |  Skjetten | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 43:41 | 27 |
| 9 |  Skjervoy | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 32:48 | 24 |
| 10 |  Stromsgodset II | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 39:42 | 23 |
| 11 | KIL Toppfotball II | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 36:51 | 23 |
| 12 |  Bossekop UL | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 34:67 | 19 |
| 13 | Tromso II | 19 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 32:41 | 14 |
| 14 |  Ulfstind | 20 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 36:70 | 14 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.