UMECIT vs Union Cocle: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
UMECITvs
Union CocleThe model puts UMECIT at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours UMECIT.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- UMECIT have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Union Cocle have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- UMECIT is priced at 2.25.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts UMECIT at 39%. The model puts the draw at 32%. The model puts Union Cocle at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. UMECIT is priced at 2.25. The draw is priced at 2.73. Union Cocle is priced at 3.35.
Union Cocle have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
UMECIT have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Union Cocle have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, UMECIT or Union Cocle?
Our model rates UMECIT as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for UMECIT vs Union Cocle?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 UMECIT wins, 1 draws, 1 Union Cocle wins.
Odds movement
League table
Panama. Liga Panamena de Futbol (Apertura)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Deportivo Plaza Amador | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22:14 | 18 |
| 2 |  Club Deportivo Árabe Unido | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Tauro | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Alianza de Panama | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 5 | UMECIT | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 6 |  AF Sporting San Miguelito | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.