USA. MLS

Los Angeles vs Vancouver Whitecaps: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Los Angelesvs

Vancouver Whitecaps

Our predictionVancouver Whitecaps to win

Model score: Low · 18/100

Score hint: 1-2

The model puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Los Angeles.
+Vancouver Whitecaps creates more chances (13 vs 16 shots per game).
+Vancouver Whitecaps controls more of the ball (45% vs 57%).
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.

Win probabilities

1 · Los Angeles37%

Draw25%

2 · Vancouver Whitecaps38%

1 · Los AngelesDraw2 · Vancouver Whitecaps

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Over 2.51.62+13.1%

BTTSYes1.48+8.7%

1X2Los Angeles2.67+1.0%

1X2Vancouver Whitecaps2.50+0.1%

1X2Draw3.60-1.1%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.93Los Angeles

1.80Vancouver Whitecaps

Over 2.5 goals72%

Both teams to score71%

Recent form

Los AngelesDWLWL

Vancouver WhitecapsLDLLD

Most likely scorelines

1-18.4%

2-18.1%

1-27.5%

2-27.2%

3-15.2%

1-04.7%

Team strength rating

Los Angeles

Vancouver Whitecaps

Match DNA

Los Angeles Vancouver Whitecaps

Key points

Los Angeles have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Vancouver Whitecaps have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Los Angeles have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
Vancouver Whitecaps is priced at 2.495.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Vancouver Whitecaps win2.50Fair

Double chanceVancouver Whitecaps or draw—Info

Total goalsOver 2.51.62Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	2	4	4	2	1
1	5	8	8	4	2
2	4	8	7	4	2
3	3	5	5	3	1
4	1	2	2	1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Los Angeles at 37%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.

The market frames this as a close contest. Los Angeles is priced at 2.665. The draw is priced at 3.6. Vancouver Whitecaps is priced at 2.495.

Los Angeles have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Vancouver Whitecaps have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.

Los Angeles have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Vancouver Whitecaps have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

Los Angeles average 2 goals per game this season. Los Angeles average 45% possession. Vancouver Whitecaps average 2 goals per game this season. Vancouver Whitecaps average 57% possession.

The model gives 71% for both teams to score. The model gives 72% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Los Angeles or Vancouver Whitecaps?

Our model rates Vancouver Whitecaps as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Los Angeles vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 15 meetings: 5 Los Angeles wins, 3 draws, 7 Vancouver Whitecaps wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

USA. MLS

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	27	15	7	5	60:29	50
2	St. Louis City	27	13	6	8	48:36	47
3	Dallas	27	13	6	8	50:42	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	8	6	49:39	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	9	5	34:32	44
6	Los Angeles	28	11	9	8	43:30	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	10	9	8	35:35	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	11	13	3	38:38	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	9	10	9	37:44	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	13	5	48:51	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	13	5	40:44	32
12	San Diego	27	8	11	8	47:47	32
13	Austin	27	7	10	10	35:47	31
14	Minnesota United	27	7	12	8	40:49	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	6	18	3	32:65	21

Promotion - USA. MLS (Play-off: Round of 16) Promotion - USA. MLS (Play-off: Round of 32)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.