Frosinone Calcio vs Sassuolo Calcio: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Frosinone Calciovs
Sassuolo CalcioThe model puts Frosinone Calcio at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Frosinone Calcio (9-2-2).
- −Recent form favours Sassuolo Calcio.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Frosinone Calcio have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sassuolo Calcio have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Frosinone Calcio have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Frosinone Calcio is priced at 2.44.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Frosinone Calcio at 40%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Sassuolo Calcio at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Frosinone Calcio is priced at 2.44. The draw is priced at 3.4. Sassuolo Calcio is priced at 2.856.
Frosinone Calcio have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Sassuolo Calcio have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Frosinone Calcio have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Sassuolo Calcio have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Frosinone Calcio average 2 goals per game this season. Frosinone Calcio average 38% possession. Sassuolo Calcio average 1 goals per game this season. Sassuolo Calcio average 49% possession.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Frosinone Calcio or Sassuolo Calcio?
Our model rates Frosinone Calcio as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Frosinone Calcio vs Sassuolo Calcio?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 9 Frosinone Calcio wins, 2 draws, 2 Sassuolo Calcio wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 13 |
| 2 |  Internazionale Milano | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:8 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Milan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese Calcio | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:11 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza 1912 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna 1909 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:10 | 1 |
| 20 |  Unione Venezia | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4:13 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.