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Egypt Cup

Kahrbaa Alasmalia vs Al Zarqa: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Kahrbaa Alasmalia Kahrbaa AlasmaliavsAl Zarqa Al Zarqa
Our predictionKahrbaa Alasmalia to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Kahrbaa Alasmalia at 64%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Kahrbaa Alasmalia64%
Draw25%
2 · Al Zarqa11%
1 · Kahrbaa AlasmaliaDraw2 · Al Zarqa
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Kahrbaa Alasmalia
69
Al Zarqa
37

Most likely scorelines

2-015.1%
1-014.5%
3-010.5%
2-18.8%
1-18.4%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.09Kahrbaa Alasmalia
xG
0.58Al Zarqa
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score39%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Kahrbaa Alasmalia Al Zarqa

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Kahrbaa Alasmalia win1.41Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0741
11482
21593
31162
453
521

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.52+1.1%
1X2Kahrbaa Alasmalia1.41+0.3%
1X2Al Zarqa7.95-0.1%
1X2Draw3.64-0.2%
BTTSYes2.31-1.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Kahrbaa Alasmalia at 64%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Al Zarqa at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Kahrbaa Alasmalia. Kahrbaa Alasmalia is priced at 1.41. The draw is priced at 3.64. Al Zarqa is priced at 7.95.

The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Kahrbaa Alasmalia or Al Zarqa?

Our model rates Kahrbaa Alasmalia as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Kahrbaa Alasmalia vs Al Zarqa?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.