Al Nahda Al Buraimi vs Saham: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al Nahda Al Buraimivs
SahamThe model puts Al Nahda Al Buraimi at 62%. The model leans toward Al Nahda Al Buraimi. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Saham (3-3-9).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al Nahda Al Buraimi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Saham have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Nahda Al Buraimi have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Al Nahda Al Buraimi is priced at 1.41.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al Nahda Al Buraimi at 62%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Saham at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Al Nahda Al Buraimi. Al Nahda Al Buraimi is priced at 1.41. The draw is priced at 3.84. Saham is priced at 7.15.
Al Nahda Al Buraimi have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Saham have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Al Nahda Al Buraimi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Saham have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al Nahda Al Buraimi or Saham?
Our model rates Al Nahda Al Buraimi as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al Nahda Al Buraimi vs Saham?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 3 Al Nahda Al Buraimi wins, 3 draws, 9 Saham wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedAl Nahda Al Buraimi make it count (Unknown (13')). It's 1–0 at this point.
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (1–0)
Half-time score: Al Nahda Al Buraimi 1 – 0 Saham.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–0)
League table
Oman Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bahla Club | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Dhofar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Oman Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Sur Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 5 |  Fanja | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 6 |  Al-Nasr S.C. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 7 |  Samail | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.