Al-Musannah vs Al-Shabab Barka: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al-Musannahvs
Al-Shabab BarkaThe model puts Al-Shabab Barka at 61%. Al-Shabab Barka have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Al-Shabab Barka.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al-Musannah have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Shabab Barka have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
- Al-Shabab Barka is priced at 1.49.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
Al-Musannah have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Al-Shabab Barka have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Al-Musannah have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Al-Shabab Barka have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 43% for both teams to score.
Al-Shabab Barka is priced at 1.49. The market leans toward Al-Shabab Barka.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al-Musannah or Al-Shabab Barka?
Our model rates Al-Shabab Barka as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al-Musannah vs Al-Shabab Barka?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 6 Al-Musannah wins, 3 draws, 4 Al-Shabab Barka wins.
Odds movement
League table
Oman Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bahla Club | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Dhofar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Oman Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Sur Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 5 |  Fanja | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 6 |  Al-Nasr S.C. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 7 |  Samail | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.