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Israel. Liga Bet. North

Bnei Maghar vs Hapoel Bne Bina: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Bnei Maghar Bnei MagharvsHapoel Bne Bina Hapoel Bne Bina
Our predictionBnei Maghar to win
Model score: Medium · 40/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Bnei Maghar at 44%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Bnei Maghar44%
Draw25%
2 · Hapoel Bne Bina31%
1 · Bnei MagharDraw2 · Hapoel Bne Bina
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.36+9.4%
1X2Bnei Maghar2.08+0.5%
1X2Draw3.52-0.2%
1X2Hapoel Bne Bina2.90-0.3%
BTTSYes1.50-9.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Bnei Maghar
57
Hapoel Bne Bina
49

Most likely scorelines

1-112.1%
1-011.3%
2-19.3%
2-08.7%
0-17.8%
0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.54Bnei Maghar
xG
1.07Hapoel Bne Bina
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Bnei Maghar Hapoel Bne Bina

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Bnei Maghar win2.08Fair (+0.5%)
Double chanceBnei Maghar or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07842
1111262
29952
3453
422
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Bnei Maghar at 44%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Hapoel Bne Bina at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Bnei Maghar. Bnei Maghar is priced at 2.08. The draw is priced at 3.52. Hapoel Bne Bina is priced at 2.902.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Bnei Maghar or Hapoel Bne Bina?

Our model rates Bnei Maghar as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Bnei Maghar vs Hapoel Bne Bina?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.703.272.842.411.98
Home 2.08 Draw 3.52 Away 2.90

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.