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India. Mumbai. Super League

Navanagar vs Bombay Gymkhana: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Navanagar NavanagarvsBombay Gymkhana Bombay Gymkhana
Our predictionNavanagar to win
Model score: Low · 25/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Navanagar at 38%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Navanagar38%
Draw23%
2 · Bombay Gymkhana38%
1 · NavanagarDraw2 · Bombay Gymkhana
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.86+15.1%
1X2Navanagar2.36+0.6%
1X2Draw3.76-0.2%
1X2Bombay Gymkhana2.31-0.3%
BTTSYes1.35-15.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Navanagar
53
Bombay Gymkhana
53

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
1-010.1%
0-19.2%
2-18.6%
1-27.7%
0-07.4%

Expected goals

1.37Navanagar
xG
1.23Bombay Gymkhana
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Navanagar Bombay Gymkhana

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Navanagar win2.36Fair (+0.6%)
Double chanceNavanagar or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07962
1101383
27952
3342
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Navanagar at 38%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Bombay Gymkhana at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Navanagar is priced at 2.36. The draw is priced at 3.76. Bombay Gymkhana is priced at 2.31.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Navanagar or Bombay Gymkhana?

Our model rates Navanagar as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Navanagar vs Bombay Gymkhana?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.953.513.072.632.18
Home 2.36 Draw 3.76 Away 2.31

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.