Worksop Town vs Telford United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Worksop Townvs
Telford UnitedThe model puts Worksop Town at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Telford United (1-1-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Worksop Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Telford United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Worksop Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Worksop Town is priced at 2.03.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Worksop Town at 44%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Telford United at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Worksop Town. Worksop Town is priced at 2.03. The draw is priced at 3.66. Telford United is priced at 2.94.
Worksop Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Telford United have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Worksop Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Telford United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Worksop Town or Telford United?
Our model rates Worksop Town as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Worksop Town vs Telford United?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 Worksop Town wins, 1 draws, 2 Telford United wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.