Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Gainsborough Trinity at 48%. The model leans toward Gainsborough Trinity. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Leamington.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Gainsborough Trinity have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Leamington have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gainsborough Trinity have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Gainsborough Trinity is priced at 1.82.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Gainsborough Trinity at 48%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Leamington at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Gainsborough Trinity. Gainsborough Trinity is priced at 1.82. The draw is priced at 3.6. Leamington is priced at 3.58.
Gainsborough Trinity have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Leamington have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Gainsborough Trinity have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Leamington have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Gainsborough Trinity or Leamington?
Our model rates Gainsborough Trinity as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 4 Gainsborough Trinity wins, 3 draws, 3 Leamington wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.