← All predictions
England. FA Cup

Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough TrinityvsLeamington Leamington
Our predictionGainsborough Trinity to win
Model score: Low · 32/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Gainsborough Trinity at 48%. The model leans toward Gainsborough Trinity. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Gainsborough Trinity48%
Draw25%
2 · Leamington27%
1 · Gainsborough TrinityDraw2 · Leamington
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.18+7.1%
1X2Leamington3.58+2.2%
1X2Draw3.60-0.1%
1X2Gainsborough Trinity1.82-2.1%
BTTSYes1.60-7.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Gainsborough TrinityDLLWD
LeamingtonDWWWW
Team strength rating
Gainsborough Trinity
55
Leamington
53

Most likely scorelines

1-011.9%
1-111.7%
2-09.7%
2-19.6%
0-07.2%
0-17.1%

Expected goals

1.64Gainsborough Trinity
xG
0.99Leamington
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Gainsborough Trinity Leamington

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Gainsborough Trinity win1.82Fair (-2.1%)
Double chanceGainsborough Trinity or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07741
1121262
2101052
3553
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Gainsborough Trinity at 48%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Leamington at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Gainsborough Trinity. Gainsborough Trinity is priced at 1.82. The draw is priced at 3.6. Leamington is priced at 3.58.

Gainsborough Trinity have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Leamington have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.

Gainsborough Trinity have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Leamington have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Gainsborough Trinity or Leamington?

Our model rates Gainsborough Trinity as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 10 meetings: 4 Gainsborough Trinity wins, 3 draws, 3 Leamington wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.783.272.752.241.73
Home 1.82 Draw 3.60 Away 3.58

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.