Terdu vs Gazalkent: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Terduvs
GazalkentThe model puts Gazalkent at 73%. The model leans toward Gazalkent. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Terdu have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gazalkent have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gazalkent is priced at 1.22.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Terdu at 8%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Gazalkent at 73%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Gazalkent. Terdu is priced at 12.4. The draw is priced at 4.8. Gazalkent is priced at 1.22.
Gazalkent have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Terdu have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Gazalkent have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 33% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Terdu or Gazalkent?
Our model rates Gazalkent as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Terdu vs Gazalkent?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Terdu wins, 0 draws, 1 Gazalkent wins.
Odds movement
League table
Uzbekistan. Pro League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aral | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 42:13 | 49 |
| 2 |  Shurtan Guzar | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 35:19 | 42 |
| 3 |  Metallurg Bekabad | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 46:16 | 40 |
| 4 |  Fergana State University | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 34:26 | 36 |
| 5 |  Kattakurgan | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 24:17 | 33 |
| 6 |  Lochin | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 32 |
| 7 |  Olimpik MobiUZ | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 34:20 | 31 |
| 8 | Gazalkent | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:22 | 29 |
| 9 |  Jayxun | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 22:25 | 24 |
| 10 |  Yaypan | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 23:37 | 22 |
| 11 |  Respublika FA | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 25:29 | 22 |
| 12 |  Buxdu | 19 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 15:45 | 10 |
| 13 |  Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 13:46 | 10 |
| 14 | Terdu | 19 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 11:44 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.