FCSB II vs CSM Alexandria: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
FCSB IIvs
CSM AlexandriaThe model puts CSM Alexandria at 53%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- CSM Alexandria is priced at 1.7.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts FCSB II at 23%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts CSM Alexandria at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward CSM Alexandria. FCSB II is priced at 3.975. The draw is priced at 3.72. CSM Alexandria is priced at 1.7.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, FCSB II or CSM Alexandria?
Our model rates CSM Alexandria as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for FCSB II vs CSM Alexandria?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
League table
Romania. Liga 3. Serie 5| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACS Omega Bucuresti | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 2 |  Dinamo Bucuresti II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 3 |  CS AXI Arena | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 4 |  Dunarea Giurgiu | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 5 |  Inter Ilfov | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 6 |  Mogosoaia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 7 | CSM Alexandria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 8 |  CSM Cetatea Turnu Magurele | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 4 |
| 9 |  Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:5 | 3 |
| 10 | FCSB II | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:15 | 3 |
| 11 |  Voluntari II | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 12 |  Oxigen Bucuresti | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:11 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.