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India. Shillong. Division 1

Mawkhar vs Nongrim Hills: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Mawkhar MawkharvsNongrim Hills Nongrim Hills
Our predictionNongrim Hills to win
Model score: Low · 7/100
Score hint: 1-2

The model puts Nongrim Hills at 41%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Mawkhar35%
Draw23%
2 · Nongrim Hills41%
1 · MawkharDraw2 · Nongrim Hills
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Over 2.51.59+6.1%
BTTSYes1.52+4.7%
1X2Mawkhar2.60+0.6%
1X2Draw3.82-0.2%
1X2Nongrim Hills2.16-0.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.63Mawkhar
xG
1.66Nongrim Hills
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score65%

Most likely scorelines

1-110.1%
1-28.4%
2-18.2%
2-26.8%
0-16.2%
1-06.1%
Team strength rating
Mawkhar
51
Nongrim Hills
55

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Mawkhar Nongrim Hills

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Nongrim Hills win2.16Fair
Double chanceNongrim Hills or drawInfo
Total goalsOver 2.51.59Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
046531
1610852
258742
33442
4122
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Mawkhar at 35%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Nongrim Hills at 41%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.

The market frames this as a close contest. Mawkhar is priced at 2.6. The draw is priced at 3.82. Nongrim Hills is priced at 2.16.

The model gives 65% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Mawkhar or Nongrim Hills?

Our model rates Nongrim Hills as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Mawkhar vs Nongrim Hills?

A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.013.543.072.612.14
Home 2.60 Draw 3.82 Away 2.16

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.