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England. FA Cup

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & RedbridgevsWaltham Abbey Waltham Abbey
Our predictionDagenham & Redbridge to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Dagenham & Redbridge at 65%. The model leans toward Dagenham & Redbridge. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Dagenham & Redbridge65%
Draw19%
2 · Waltham Abbey16%
1 · Dagenham & RedbridgeDraw2 · Waltham Abbey
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.15+16.2%
1X2Dagenham & Redbridge1.43+1.5%
1X2Waltham Abbey5.30-0.7%
1X2Draw4.60-0.8%
BTTSYes1.61-16.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Dagenham & Redbridge
74
Waltham Abbey
38

Recent form

Dagenham & RedbridgeDWWLW
Waltham AbbeyDLWDL

Most likely scorelines

2-014.3%
1-014.1%
3-09.7%
2-19.1%
1-19.0%
0-07.0%

Expected goals

2.03Dagenham & Redbridge
xG
0.64Waltham Abbey
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score41%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Dagenham & Redbridge Waltham Abbey

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Dagenham & Redbridge win1.43Fair (+1.5%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0741
11493
21493
31062
453
521

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Dagenham & Redbridge at 65%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Waltham Abbey at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Dagenham & Redbridge. Dagenham & Redbridge is priced at 1.43. The draw is priced at 4.6. Waltham Abbey is priced at 5.3.

The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Dagenham & Redbridge have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Waltham Abbey have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Dagenham & Redbridge or Waltham Abbey?

Our model rates Dagenham & Redbridge as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Dagenham & Redbridge wins, 1 draws, 0 Waltham Abbey wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

6.024.843.672.501.33
Home 1.43 Draw 4.60 Away 5.30

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.