Adjud vs AS USV Iasi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Adjudvs
AS USV IasiThe model puts AS USV Iasi at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours AS USV Iasi.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Adjud have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AS USV Iasi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Adjud have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- AS USV Iasi is priced at 2.23.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Adjud at 32%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts AS USV Iasi at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Adjud is priced at 2.717. The draw is priced at 3.42. AS USV Iasi is priced at 2.23.
Adjud have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. AS USV Iasi have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Adjud have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. AS USV Iasi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Adjud or AS USV Iasi?
Our model rates AS USV Iasi as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Adjud vs AS USV Iasi?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Adjud wins, 1 draws, 1 AS USV Iasi wins.
Odds movement
League table
Romania. Liga 3. Serie 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSM Vaslui | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Adjud | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 3 | AS USV Iasi | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 4 |  ACS Bacau II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 5 |  Odorheiu Secuiesc | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 |  Aerostar | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 7 |  ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 5 |
| 8 |  Viitorul Onesti | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 9 |  Bradul Putna | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 4 |
| 10 |  CS Gheorgheni | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:9 | 3 |
| 11 |  Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1:11 | 1 |
| 12 |  Kosarom Pascani | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4:9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.