CS Paulesti vs Tunari: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
CS Paulestivs
TunariThe model puts Tunari at 78%. The model leans toward Tunari. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Tunari.
- +The head-to-head record favours Tunari (0-0-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- CS Paulesti have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tunari have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tunari is priced at 1.169.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 3 |
| 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts CS Paulesti at 7%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Tunari at 78%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Tunari. CS Paulesti is priced at 14.9. The draw is priced at 5.4. Tunari is priced at 1.169.
Tunari have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
CS Paulesti have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Tunari have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 29% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, CS Paulesti or Tunari?
Our model rates Tunari as the most likely outcome at 78% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for CS Paulesti vs Tunari?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 CS Paulesti wins, 0 draws, 3 Tunari wins.
Odds movement
League table
Romania. Liga 3. Serie 3| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flacara Moreni | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Tunari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 3 |  Petrolul Berca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 4 |  Progresul Draganesti | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Plopeni | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 6 |  CSM Ramnicu Sarat | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 7 |  Blejoi | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 8 |  Vointa Crevedia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 9 |  Viitorul Corbeanca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 10 |  CS Urban Titu | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 11 |  Pucioasa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 12 | CS Paulesti | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1:8 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.