Plopeni vs Blejoi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Plopenivs
BlejoiThe model puts Plopeni at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Plopeni.
- +The head-to-head record favours Plopeni (8-3-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Plopeni have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Blejoi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Plopeni have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Plopeni is priced at 2.25.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Plopeni at 44%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Blejoi at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Plopeni is priced at 2.25. The draw is priced at 3.42. Blejoi is priced at 2.59.
Plopeni have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. Blejoi have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Plopeni have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Blejoi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Plopeni or Blejoi?
Our model rates Plopeni as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Plopeni vs Blejoi?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 Plopeni wins, 3 draws, 4 Blejoi wins.
Odds movement
League table
Romania. Liga 3. Serie 3| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flacara Moreni | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 10 |
| 2 |  Tunari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 3 |  Petrolul Berca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 4 |  Progresul Draganesti | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Plopeni | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 6 |  CSM Ramnicu Sarat | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 7 | Blejoi | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 8 |  Vointa Crevedia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 9 |  Viitorul Corbeanca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 10 |  CS Urban Titu | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 11 |  Pucioasa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 12 |  CS Paulesti | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1:8 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.