Amanat Baghdad vs Naft Al-Wasat: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Amanat Baghdadvs
Naft Al-WasatThe model puts Amanat Baghdad at 54%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Amanat Baghdad is priced at 1.686.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Amanat Baghdad at 54%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Naft Al-Wasat at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Amanat Baghdad. Amanat Baghdad is priced at 1.686. The draw is priced at 3.28. Naft Al-Wasat is priced at 4.735.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Amanat Baghdad or Naft Al-Wasat?
Our model rates Amanat Baghdad as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Amanat Baghdad vs Naft Al-Wasat?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.