ACSO Filiasi vs Universitatea Craiova II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
ACSO Filiasivs
Universitatea Craiova IIThe model puts Universitatea Craiova II at 56%. The model leans toward Universitatea Craiova II. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Universitatea Craiova II.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- ACSO Filiasi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova II have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- ACSO Filiasi have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Universitatea Craiova II is priced at 1.61.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts ACSO Filiasi at 21%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Universitatea Craiova II at 56%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Universitatea Craiova II. ACSO Filiasi is priced at 4.295. The draw is priced at 3.92. Universitatea Craiova II is priced at 1.61.
ACSO Filiasi have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Universitatea Craiova II have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
ACSO Filiasi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. ACSO Filiasi are on 2 wins in a row. Universitatea Craiova II have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Universitatea Craiova II are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, ACSO Filiasi or Universitatea Craiova II?
Our model rates Universitatea Craiova II as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for ACSO Filiasi vs Universitatea Craiova II?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 11 meetings: 6 ACSO Filiasi wins, 1 draws, 4 Universitatea Craiova II wins.
Odds movement
League table
Romania. Liga 3. Serie 6| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CS Drobeta Turnu Severin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Universitatea Craiova II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Minerul Lupeni | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 4 | ACSO Filiasi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:7 | 9 |
| 5 |  CSM Targu Jiu | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 6 |  Vulturii Farcasesti | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 7 |  Pausesti-Otasau | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 8 |  Unirea Bascov | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 9 |  Jiul Petrosani | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 10 |  ACS Academica Bals | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 11 |  Oltul Curtisoara | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:13 | 0 |
| 12 |  Petrolul Hartiesti | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2:11 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.