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Mexico. Liga MX. Women

Pachuca (Women) vs Santos Laguna (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Pachuca (Women) Pachuca (Women)vsSantos Laguna (Women) Santos Laguna (Women)
Our predictionPachuca (Women) to win
Model score: High · 87/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Pachuca (Women) at 74%. The model leans toward Pachuca (Women). Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Pachuca (Women)74%
Draw12%
2 · Santos Laguna (Women)14%
1 · Pachuca (Women)Draw2 · Santos Laguna (Women)
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Santos Laguna (Women)11.50+6.0%
1X2Draw6.60-1.0%
1X2Pachuca (Women)1.13-5.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Pachuca (Women)LWLLL
Santos Laguna (Women)WLLLL
Team strength rating
Pachuca (Women)
63
Santos Laguna (Women)
44

Most likely scorelines

2-016.4%
1-015.0%
3-011.9%
2-18.1%
1-17.4%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.18Pachuca (Women)
xG
0.49Santos Laguna (Women)
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score35%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Pachuca (Women) Santos Laguna (Women)

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Pachuca (Women) win1.13Avoid (-5.0%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
073
11572
21682
31261
473
531

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Pachuca (Women) at 74%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Santos Laguna (Women) at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Pachuca (Women). Pachuca (Women) is priced at 1.131. The draw is priced at 6.6. Santos Laguna (Women) is priced at 11.5.

Pachuca (Women) have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Santos Laguna (Women) have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings.

Pachuca (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Santos Laguna (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Pachuca (Women) or Santos Laguna (Women)?

Our model rates Pachuca (Women) as the most likely outcome at 74% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Pachuca (Women) vs Santos Laguna (Women)?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 13 meetings: 2 Pachuca (Women) wins, 0 draws, 11 Santos Laguna (Women) wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Mexico. Liga MX. Women - Apertura
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Monterrey (Women)871033:921
2Tigres de la UANL (Women)871028:821
3Juarez (Women)86209:518
4Toluca (Women)852119:1516
5Leon (Women)844015:1212
6Santos Laguna (Women)844011:1612
7Cruz Azul (Women)945011:2112
8Atlante (Women)82606:126
9Queretaro (Women)826010:206
Promotion - Mexico. Liga MX. Women (Apertura - Play-off)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.