Pachuca (Women) vs Santos Laguna (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Pachuca (Women) at 74%. The model leans toward Pachuca (Women). Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Santos Laguna (Women) (2-0-11).
- −Recent form favours Pachuca (Women).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Pachuca (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Santos Laguna (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pachuca (Women) have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Pachuca (Women) is priced at 1.131.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Pachuca (Women) at 74%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Santos Laguna (Women) at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Pachuca (Women). Pachuca (Women) is priced at 1.131. The draw is priced at 6.6. Santos Laguna (Women) is priced at 11.5.
Pachuca (Women) have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Santos Laguna (Women) have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings.
Pachuca (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Santos Laguna (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Pachuca (Women) or Santos Laguna (Women)?
Our model rates Pachuca (Women) as the most likely outcome at 74% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Pachuca (Women) vs Santos Laguna (Women)?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 2 Pachuca (Women) wins, 0 draws, 11 Santos Laguna (Women) wins.
League table
Mexico. Liga MX. Women - Apertura| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 33:9 | 21 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 28:8 | 21 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:12 | 12 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:16 | 12 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 11:21 | 12 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 10:20 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.