Genclerbirligi vs Amedspor: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Amedspor at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Amedspor.
- +The head-to-head record favours Amedspor (0-2-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Genclerbirligi have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Amedspor have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Amedspor is priced at 2.45.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Genclerbirligi at 33%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Amedspor at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Genclerbirligi is priced at 2.725. The draw is priced at 3.58. Amedspor is priced at 2.45.
Amedspor have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Genclerbirligi have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Amedspor have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Genclerbirligi average 1 goals per game this season. Genclerbirligi average 39% possession. Amedspor average 1 goals per game this season. Amedspor average 56% possession.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Genclerbirligi or Amedspor?
Our model rates Amedspor as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Genclerbirligi vs Amedspor?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 0 Genclerbirligi wins, 2 draws, 2 Amedspor wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Turkey. SuperLiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 13 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:10 | 13 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:7 | 12 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 12 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 10 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:5 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13:12 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:11 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:13 | 7 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:11 | 7 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:8 | 4 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:12 | 4 | |
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 3 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2:16 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.