Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Samsunsporvs
TrabzonsporThe model puts Trabzonspor at 49%. The model leans toward Trabzonspor. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Trabzonspor.
- +The head-to-head record favours Trabzonspor (4-3-8).
- −Samsunspor creates more chances (15 vs 12 shots per game).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Samsunspor have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Trabzonspor have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Samsunspor have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Trabzonspor is priced at 2.015.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Samsunspor at 28%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Trabzonspor at 49%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Trabzonspor. Samsunspor is priced at 3.44. The draw is priced at 3.74. Trabzonspor is priced at 2.015.
Samsunspor have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Trabzonspor have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Samsunspor have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Trabzonspor have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Samsunspor average 1 goals per game this season. Samsunspor average 62% possession. Trabzonspor average 1 goals per game this season. Trabzonspor average 64% possession.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Samsunspor or Trabzonspor?
Our model rates Trabzonspor as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 Samsunspor wins, 3 draws, 8 Trabzonspor wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Turkey. SuperLiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amedspor | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 13 |
| 2 |  Galatasaray | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 3 |  Besiktas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:7 | 12 |
| 4 |  Kocaelispor | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 5 |  Alanyaspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 6 |  Fenerbahce | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Trabzonspor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Kasimpasa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 9 |  Caykur Rizespor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 10 |  Gaziantep | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 11 |  Arca Corum | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 12 |  Istanbul BFK | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:11 | 7 |
| 13 |  Genclerbirligi | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:13 | 7 |
| 14 |  BB Erzurumspor | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:11 | 7 |
| 15 |  Konyaspor | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Goztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 3 |
| 18 |  Eyupspor | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2:16 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.