Germany. 2. Bundesliga

1. Heidenheim vs 1. Kaiserslautern: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

1. Heidenheimvs

1. Kaiserslautern

Our prediction1. Heidenheim to win

Model score: High · 82/100

Score hint: 2-1

The model puts 1. Heidenheim at 54%. The model leans toward 1. Heidenheim. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+1. Heidenheim score more per game (3.0 at home vs 1.0 away).
+1. Heidenheim creates more chances (22 vs 11 shots per game).
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
+1. Heidenheim controls more of the ball (48% vs 42%).

Win probabilities

1 · 1. Heidenheim54%

Draw23%

2 · 1. Kaiserslautern23%

1 · 1. HeidenheimDraw2 · 1. Kaiserslautern

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.53+3.5%

1X21. Heidenheim1.84+3.1%

1X2Draw3.86-0.8%

1X21. Kaiserslautern3.74-2.3%

BTTSNo2.35-3.5%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

1. HeidenheimLLLWW

1. KaiserslauternLDLWL

Team strength rating

1. Heidenheim

1. Kaiserslautern

Expected goals

2.511. Heidenheim

1.191. Kaiserslautern

Over 2.5 goals72%

Both teams to score64%

Most likely scorelines

2-19.3%

2-07.8%

3-17.8%

1-17.4%

3-06.5%

1-06.2%

Match DNA

1. Heidenheim 1. Kaiserslautern

Key points

1. Heidenheim have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
1. Kaiserslautern have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
1. Heidenheim have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
1. Heidenheim is priced at 1.84.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X21. Heidenheim win1.84Fair (+3.1%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	2	3	2
1	6	7	4	2
2	8	9	6	2
3	7	8	5	2
4	4	5	3	1
5	2	2	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts 1. Heidenheim at 54%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts 1. Kaiserslautern at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market leans toward 1. Heidenheim. 1. Heidenheim is priced at 1.84. The draw is priced at 3.86. 1. Kaiserslautern is priced at 3.74.

1. Heidenheim have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. 1. Kaiserslautern have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.

1. Heidenheim have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. 1. Kaiserslautern have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

1. Heidenheim average 3 goals per game this season. 1. Heidenheim average 48% possession. 1. Kaiserslautern average 1 goals per game this season. 1. Kaiserslautern average 42% possession.

The model gives 64% for both teams to score. The model gives 72% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, 1. Heidenheim or 1. Kaiserslautern?

Our model rates 1. Heidenheim as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for 1. Heidenheim vs 1. Kaiserslautern?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 11 meetings: 2 1. Heidenheim wins, 5 draws, 4 1. Kaiserslautern wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Germany. 2. Bundesliga

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	6	6	0	0	17:7	18
2	Nurnberg	6	5	0	1	16:6	16
3	1. Heidenheim	6	4	1	1	14:12	13
4	VfL Wolfsburg	6	3	1	2	15:8	11
5	1. Kaiserslautern	6	3	1	2	6:4	11
6	1. Magdeburg	6	3	2	1	11:9	10
7	Energie Cottbus	6	2	2	2	14:13	8
8	St. Pauli	6	1	1	4	8:8	7
9	VfL Bochum	6	2	3	1	5:6	7
10	Hannover 96	6	2	3	1	7:9	7
11	VfL Osnabruck	6	2	3	1	9:12	7
12	Greuther Furth	6	1	2	3	9:11	6
13	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	3	2	10:12	5
14	Karlsruher	6	1	3	2	6:12	5
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	1	4	1	12:13	4
16	Holstein	6	0	2	4	7:10	4
17	Dynamo Dresden	6	1	4	1	8:14	4
18	Darmstadt 98	6	1	4	1	5:13	4