Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Darmstadt 98vs
Energie CottbusThe model puts Darmstadt 98 at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Energie Cottbus score more per game (1.0 at home vs 2.0 away).
- −Energie Cottbus creates more chances (12 vs 19 shots per game).
- −Energie Cottbus controls more of the ball (41% vs 51%).
- −Darmstadt 98 are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Energie Cottbus are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Darmstadt 98 will be without Akiyama H., Marseiler, Nuernberger, Papela M..
- Energie Cottbus will be without Engelhardt, Gutta J..
- Darmstadt 98 is priced at 2.04.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Darmstadt 98 at 43%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Energie Cottbus at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Darmstadt 98. Darmstadt 98 is priced at 2.04. The draw is priced at 4.05. Energie Cottbus is priced at 3.02.
Darmstadt 98 average 1 goals per game this season. Darmstadt 98 average 41% possession. Energie Cottbus average 2 goals per game this season. Energie Cottbus average 51% possession.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Darmstadt 98 or Energie Cottbus?
Our model rates Darmstadt 98 as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.