1. Magdeburg vs Hannover 96: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
1. Magdeburgvs
Hannover 96The model puts 1. Magdeburg at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +1. Magdeburg score more per game (2.0 at home vs 1.0 away).
- −Recent form favours 1. Magdeburg.
- −The head-to-head record favours Hannover 96 (3-2-6).
- −Hannover 96 creates more chances (14 vs 20 shots per game).
- −Hannover 96 controls more of the ball (46% vs 56%).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- 1. Magdeburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hannover 96 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Magdeburg have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- 1. Magdeburg will be without Musonda L..
- Hannover 96 will be without Bundu.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts 1. Magdeburg at 40%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Hannover 96 at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. 1. Magdeburg is priced at 2.27. The draw is priced at 3.82. Hannover 96 is priced at 2.72.
1. Magdeburg have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Hannover 96 have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
1. Magdeburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Hannover 96 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Hannover 96 are on 2 wins in a row.
1. Magdeburg average 2 goals per game this season. 1. Magdeburg average 46% possession. Hannover 96 average 1 goals per game this season. Hannover 96 average 56% possession.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, 1. Magdeburg or Hannover 96?
Our model rates 1. Magdeburg as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for 1. Magdeburg vs Hannover 96?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 11 meetings: 3 1. Magdeburg wins, 2 draws, 6 Hannover 96 wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.