Hertha BSC vs Greuther Furth: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hertha BSCvs
Greuther FurthThe model puts Hertha BSC at 64%. The model leans toward Hertha BSC. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hertha BSC.
- +The head-to-head record favours Hertha BSC (7-1-2).
- +Greuther Furth are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Hertha BSC have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Greuther Furth have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hertha BSC have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Greuther Furth will be without Dal, Zank.
- Hertha BSC is priced at 1.54.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hertha BSC at 64%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Greuther Furth at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 3-1.
The market leans toward Hertha BSC. Hertha BSC is priced at 1.54. The draw is priced at 4.65. Greuther Furth is priced at 4.87.
Hertha BSC have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Greuther Furth have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hertha BSC have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Greuther Furth have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Hertha BSC average 3 goals per game this season. Hertha BSC average 42% possession. Greuther Furth average 2 goals per game this season. Greuther Furth average 47% possession.
The model gives 65% for both teams to score. The model gives 83% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hertha BSC or Greuther Furth?
Our model rates Hertha BSC as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hertha BSC vs Greuther Furth?
A scoreline around 3-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 7 Hertha BSC wins, 1 draws, 2 Greuther Furth wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Hertha BSC
- 2Eitschberger
- 7Brekalo
- 8Sessa K.
- 18Schuler
- 19Adewumi
- 22Pedersen Mad.
- 23Thorsteinsson J.
- 27Kolbe
- 30Seguin
- 35Gersbeck
- 44Gechter
Greuther Furth
- 1Hellstern
- 2Райх
- 6Bance
- 8Appelkamp
- 10Pohlmann
- 13Will P.
- 22Heuer
- 23Dehm
- 30Felix Klaus
- 34Blancq
- 42Sillah
- Dal (Missing Player)
- Prufrock (Missing Player)
- Zank (Missing Player)
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 17 |
| 3 |  1. Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 4 |  1. Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 13 |
| 5 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 12 |
| 6 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 7 |  Energie Cottbus | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:16 | 8 |
| 8 |  VfL Osnabruck | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:13 | 7 |
| 10 |  St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 13 |  Darmstadt 98 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 15 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | 5 |
| 16 |  Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:15 | 5 |
| 17 |  Karlsruher | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 18 |  Holstein | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.