Chippenham Town vs Yate Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Chippenham Townvs
Yate TownThe model puts Chippenham Town at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Yate Town (1-2-9).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Chippenham Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Yate Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chippenham Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Chippenham Town is priced at 2.22.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Chippenham Town at 40%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Yate Town at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Chippenham Town is priced at 2.22. The draw is priced at 3.56. Yate Town is priced at 2.669.
Chippenham Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Yate Town have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Chippenham Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Yate Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Chippenham Town or Yate Town?
Our model rates Chippenham Town as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 1 Chippenham Town wins, 2 draws, 9 Yate Town wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.