Kashima Antlers vs Ventforet Kofu: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kashima Antlersvs
Ventforet KofuThe model puts Kashima Antlers at 70%. The model leans toward Kashima Antlers. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Kashima Antlers.
- −The head-to-head record favours Ventforet Kofu (5-2-8).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kashima Antlers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ventforet Kofu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kashima Antlers have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kashima Antlers is priced at 1.31.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kashima Antlers at 70%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Ventforet Kofu at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Kashima Antlers. Kashima Antlers is priced at 1.31. The draw is priced at 4.65. Ventforet Kofu is priced at 9.85.
Kashima Antlers have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Ventforet Kofu have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Kashima Antlers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Kashima Antlers are on 3 wins in a row. Ventforet Kofu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kashima Antlers or Ventforet Kofu?
Our model rates Kashima Antlers as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kashima Antlers vs Ventforet Kofu?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Kashima Antlers wins, 2 draws, 8 Ventforet Kofu wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.