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Japan. Emperors Cup

Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa ReysolvsImabari Imabari
Our predictionKashiwa Reysol to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Kashiwa Reysol at 78%. The model leans toward Kashiwa Reysol. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Kashiwa Reysol78%
Draw14%
2 · Imabari8%
1 · Kashiwa ReysolDraw2 · Imabari
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.76+19.6%
1X2Kashiwa Reysol1.19+0.2%
1X2Imabari12.10-0.1%
1X2Draw6.45-0.1%
BTTSYes1.95-19.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Kashiwa Reysol
83
Imabari
35

Recent form

Kashiwa ReysolWLW
Imabari

Most likely scorelines

2-018.2%
1-015.4%
3-014.3%
4-08.4%
2-16.7%
0-06.5%

Expected goals

2.36Kashiwa Reysol
xG
0.37Imabari
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score28%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Kashiwa Reysol Imabari

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Kashiwa Reysol win1.19Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
072
11561
21871
3145
483
541

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Kashiwa Reysol at 78%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Imabari at 8%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Kashiwa Reysol. Kashiwa Reysol is priced at 1.188. The draw is priced at 6.45. Imabari is priced at 12.1.

Kashiwa Reysol have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 28% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Kashiwa Reysol or Imabari?

Our model rates Kashiwa Reysol as the most likely outcome at 78% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward a balanced game.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

18.3814.049.715.381.05
Home 1.19 Draw 6.45 Away 12.10

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.