Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vissel Kobevs
Sagan TosuThe model puts Vissel Kobe at 65%. The model leans toward Vissel Kobe. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Vissel Kobe.
- +The head-to-head record favours Vissel Kobe (10-4-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Vissel Kobe have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sagan Tosu have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vissel Kobe have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Vissel Kobe is priced at 1.49.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Vissel Kobe at 65%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Sagan Tosu at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Vissel Kobe. Vissel Kobe is priced at 1.49. The draw is priced at 4.05. Sagan Tosu is priced at 6.18.
Vissel Kobe have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. Sagan Tosu have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Vissel Kobe have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Vissel Kobe are on 5 wins in a row. Sagan Tosu have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Vissel Kobe or Sagan Tosu?
Our model rates Vissel Kobe as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 10 Vissel Kobe wins, 4 draws, 1 Sagan Tosu wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.