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Japan. Emperors Cup

Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Kyoto Sanga Kyoto SangavsFujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC
Our predictionKyoto Sanga to win
Model score: High · 61/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Kyoto Sanga at 56%. The model leans toward Kyoto Sanga. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Kyoto Sanga56%
Draw24%
2 · Fujieda MYFC20%
1 · Kyoto SangaDraw2 · Fujieda MYFC
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.95+18.6%
1X2Kyoto Sanga1.66+0.4%
1X2Fujieda MYFC4.64-0.2%
1X2Draw3.82-0.2%
BTTSYes1.77-18.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.41Kyoto Sanga
xG
0.59Fujieda MYFC
Over 2.5 goals32%
Both teams to score34%
Team strength rating
Kyoto Sanga
65
Fujieda MYFC
42

Most likely scorelines

1-019.0%
0-013.5%
2-013.4%
1-111.3%
0-18.0%
2-17.9%

Recent form

Kyoto SangaWLL
Fujieda MYFC

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Kyoto Sanga Fujieda MYFC

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Kyoto Sanga win1.66Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
01482
119113
21382
3641
421
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Kyoto Sanga at 56%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Fujieda MYFC at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Kyoto Sanga. Kyoto Sanga is priced at 1.66. The draw is priced at 3.82. Fujieda MYFC is priced at 4.64.

Kyoto Sanga have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 32% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Kyoto Sanga or Fujieda MYFC?

Our model rates Kyoto Sanga as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.874.053.222.401.58
Home 1.66 Draw 3.82 Away 4.64

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.