Turks and Caicos Islands vs Montserrat: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Turks and Caicos Islandsvs
MontserratThe model puts Montserrat at 82%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Montserrat is priced at 1.119.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 4 |
| 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Turks and Caicos Islands at 6%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Montserrat at 82%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Montserrat. Turks and Caicos Islands is priced at 15.5. The draw is priced at 7.8. Montserrat is priced at 1.119.
The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Turks and Caicos Islands or Montserrat?
Our model rates Montserrat as the most likely outcome at 82% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Turks and Caicos Islands vs Montserrat?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League C| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.