Cerezo Osaka (Women) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cerezo Osaka (Women)vs
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women)The model puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) at 48%. The model leans toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women). Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) (0-2-8).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cerezo Osaka (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) is priced at 1.96.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Cerezo Osaka (Women) at 25%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) at 48%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women). Cerezo Osaka (Women) is priced at 3.515. The draw is priced at 3.18. Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) is priced at 1.96.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cerezo Osaka (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cerezo Osaka (Women) or Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women)?
Our model rates Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cerezo Osaka (Women) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women)?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 0 Cerezo Osaka (Women) wins, 2 draws, 8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) wins.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nojima Stella (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  RB Omiya Ardija (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  NTV Beleza (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 6 |  AS Elfen Saitama (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 7 | Cerezo Osaka (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 8 |  MyNavi Sendai (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 10 |  INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 11 |  Albirex Niigata (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 12 |  Nagano Parceiro (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.