NTV Beleza (Women) vs Albirex Niigata (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
NTV Beleza (Women)vs
Albirex Niigata (Women)The model puts NTV Beleza (Women) at 67%. The model leans toward NTV Beleza (Women). Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours NTV Beleza (Women).
- +The head-to-head record favours NTV Beleza (Women) (11-2-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- NTV Beleza (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Albirex Niigata (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- NTV Beleza (Women) have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings.
- NTV Beleza (Women) is priced at 1.4.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts NTV Beleza (Women) at 67%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Albirex Niigata (Women) at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward NTV Beleza (Women). NTV Beleza (Women) is priced at 1.4. The draw is priced at 4.15. Albirex Niigata (Women) is priced at 6.52.
NTV Beleza (Women) have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings. Albirex Niigata (Women) have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
NTV Beleza (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. NTV Beleza (Women) are on 2 wins in a row. Albirex Niigata (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, NTV Beleza (Women) or Albirex Niigata (Women)?
Our model rates NTV Beleza (Women) as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for NTV Beleza (Women) vs Albirex Niigata (Women)?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 11 NTV Beleza (Women) wins, 2 draws, 2 Albirex Niigata (Women) wins.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nojima Stella (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  RB Omiya Ardija (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | NTV Beleza (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 6 |  AS Elfen Saitama (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 7 |  Cerezo Osaka (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 8 |  MyNavi Sendai (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 10 |  INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 11 | Albirex Niigata (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 12 |  Nagano Parceiro (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.