JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women)vs
INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women)The model puts INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) at 46%. The model leans toward INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women). Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) (11-2-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings.
- INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) is priced at 1.87.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) at 29%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women). JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) is priced at 3.53. The draw is priced at 3.44. INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) is priced at 1.87.
JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings. INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) or INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women)?
Our model rates INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women)?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 11 JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) wins, 2 draws, 2 INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) wins.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nojima Stella (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  RB Omiya Ardija (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  NTV Beleza (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 4 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 6 |  AS Elfen Saitama (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 7 |  Cerezo Osaka (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 8 |  MyNavi Sendai (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 10 | INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 11 |  Albirex Niigata (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 12 |  Nagano Parceiro (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.